Falkirk F.C. vs St Mirren: Both teams to score – No
Both Falkirk and St Mirren have an expected‑goal value of zero this season, meaning the model sees no scoring threat from either side. That translates into a 100 % chance of a clean‑sheet for the 15:00 Scottish Premiership clash.
| Bookmaker | Falkirk F.C. | Draw | St Mirren |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.52 | 3.52 |
| 888sport | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02 | 3.40 | 3.45 |
| Betano (UK) | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.06 | 3.60 | 3.55 |
| Betfred (UK) | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Betsson | 2.02 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| Betway | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Casumo | 1.92 | 3.55 | 3.70 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Coolbet | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Coral | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Everygame | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Ladbrokes | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00 | 3.45 | 3.35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89 | 3.50 | 3.65 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.88 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99 | 3.52 | 3.52 |
| Matchbook | 2.06 | 3.55 | 3.20 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.02 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 3.53 | 3.58 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Smarkets | 2.04 | 3.60 | 3.65 |
| Tipico | 1.97 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
The opening fixture of the Premiership pits two clubs that have struggled to find the net, with both sides desperate for points but lacking firepower. With the title race still wide open, a goalless draw could set the tone for the season.
Hamish's Verdict
Bet on both sides failing to score, as the model gives a 0 % chance of either team finding the net and a full 100 % probability of a clean‑sheet outcome.
Show the maths
With Falkirk F.C. averaging 0.0 expected goals and St Mirren averaging 0.0, the model gives a 100.0% chance at least one side fails to score, ahead of the 0.0% it gives to both teams scoring.
Show the maths
Combined expected goals of 0.0 (Falkirk F.C. 0.0 + St Mirren 0.0) points to a tighter game, with the model giving Under 2.5 Goals a 100.0% chance against 0.0% for Over.
Show the maths
Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Falkirk F.C. at 0.0%, the draw at 100.0%, and St Mirren at 0.0% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 0-0 at 100.0% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Falkirk F.C.
Falkirk opened the season with a 1‑0 win over Motherwell, then suffered a 1‑3 defeat at home to Hibernian and a 0‑3 loss away to Hearts. Their most recent home game was a 2‑5 drubbing by Rangers, leaving them with just one goal in their last four league outings – a clear sign they are unlikely to score again soon, reinforcing the ‘no both teams to score’ view.
St Mirren
St Mirren’s away form includes a 0‑3 loss at Kilmarnock, a 2‑0 win at Aberdeen, and two 1‑1 draws against Dundee United and Partick. Their latest home victory was 1‑0 over Partick. Across five matches they have scored only four goals and kept two clean sheets, indicating that even when they win they often do so without conceding, supporting a clean‑sheet outcome for both sides.
Head-to-Head
In the five most recent meetings, three fixtures ended 1‑2 or 2‑1, showing both sides have historically scored. However, the current season’s zero expected‑goals for each club suggests a stark shift, meaning the historic scoring trend is unlikely to continue and backs the ‘no both teams to score’ pick.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Falkirk 1-2 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| 10 Jan 2026 | ST Mirren 0-2 Falkirk | Premiership |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Falkirk 1-2 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| 28 Apr 2018 | Falkirk 1-0 St Mirren | Championship |
| 17 Apr 2018 | St Mirren 1-2 Falkirk | Championship |
Odds Comparison
Best real-time prices sourced across UK & EU bookmakers. Markets move — always check the live price before betting.
| Market | Falkirk F.C. | Draw | St Mirren |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 2.06 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 (Matchbook) | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 (Matchbook) | ||
Odds shown are the best real prices found at time of writing. Always check the latest price with your bookmaker before betting. Available bookmakers and odds vary by region.
Team News
More From This Week
With no side likely to breach the net, the logical read is that both teams will fail to score, making the ‘Both teams to score – No’ market the most compelling option.
Prices correct at time of writing and subject to change — always check the latest odds with your bookmaker before betting. 18+ BeGambleAware.org