Anderlecht vs Zulte Waregem preview by Lars for TerraceBet

Belgian Pro League · Regular Season - 7 FT · Anderlecht 3-0 Zulte Waregem Lotto Park

Anderlecht vs Zulte Waregem: Both teams to score – Yes

Anderlecht's home defence is tight but Zulte Waregem's away firepower tilts the odds toward both sides finding the net. The model backs a 46 % chance of both teams scoring.

Lars — European Football Writer, Continental European leagues from the Eredivisie to the Superliga

Stats-first, no filler, model-backed picks

Lars's Take

Headline Pick

Both teams to score – Yes Lost

Solid · High scoring odds

Both Teams to Score

BTTS — No Won

54.0% model probability

Total Goals

Under 2.5 Goals Lost

59.6% model probability

The Brussels giants have been solid at home, conceding just 0.3 goals per game, yet they have struggled to convert chances, averaging only one goal. Zulte Waregem, meanwhile, have posted the league’s highest away expected goals at 1.3, showing a clear propensity to score on the road.

Lars's Verdict

Solid

Both teams to score – Yes Lost Solid lean Solid · High scoring odds

With Anderlecht averaging 1.0 xG at home and Zulte Waregem 1.3 xG away, the model assigns a 46 % probability that both sides will find the net.

Show the maths

Anderlecht’s home expected goals sit at 1.0, meaning they typically create enough chances to score once per match. Zulte’s away expected goals are 1.3, indicating a slightly higher likelihood of scoring. When both teams exceed a 0.5 xG threshold, the model’s BTTS probability rises to 46 %, compared with a 54 % chance of no goals from one side. This balance of attacking output against defensive solidity drives the pick.

Pick 2 · Both Teams to Score

Both Teams to Score — No (one side kept off the scoresheet) Won 54.0% model probability

With Anderlecht averaging 1.0 expected goals and Zulte Waregem averaging 1.3, the model gives a 54.0% chance at least one side fails to score, ahead of the 46.0% it gives to both teams scoring.

Show the maths

BTTS probability is derived from each side's expected goals (Anderlecht 1.0, Zulte Waregem 1.3) run through the same Poisson goal-expectancy model used for the match result: 46.0% of simulated outcomes have both teams scoring at least once, versus 54.0% where at least one side is shut out.

Pick 3 · Total Goals

Under 2.5 Goals Lost 59.6% model probability

Combined expected goals of 2.3 (Anderlecht 1.0 + Zulte Waregem 1.3) points to a tighter game, with the model giving Under 2.5 Goals a 59.6% chance against 40.4% for Over.

Show the maths

Total goals probability comes from the same Poisson model summing both teams' expected goals (Anderlecht 1.0 + Zulte Waregem 1.3 = 2.3 combined): 40.4% of simulated outcomes finish with 3 or more goals, versus 59.6% finishing with 2 or fewer.

Match Result Model

Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Anderlecht at 28.6%, the draw at 28.0%, and Zulte Waregem at 43.4% to win.

Most Likely Scoreline

The single most likely scoreline in our model is 0-1 at 13.0% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.

The Numbers Behind the Headline

Anderlecht expected goals

1.0

Zulte Waregem expected goals

1.3

Model BTTS probability

54.0%

Most likely scorelines

10-1

13.0%

21-1

13.0%

30-0

10.0%

Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.

Form Guide — Last 5

Anderlecht

LLWDW

Anderlecht’s last five league outings include a 1‑0 win over Kortrijk and a 0‑0 draw with Genk, showing they can keep a clean sheet. However, the 0‑1 loss at Beveren and a 0‑3 defeat at Union St. Gilloise underline occasional offensive stalls, reinforcing the view that they will likely score but not dominate.

Zulte Waregem

DWDWL

Zulte Waregem’s recent form features a 4‑0 home thrashing of SK Beveren and a 2‑2 away draw at Westerlo, evidencing both firepower and resilience. Their 0‑1 loss at Charleroi is the only recent match where they failed to score, suggesting they remain a potent threat on the road.

Head-to-Head

In the last five meetings, the scorelines have been high‑scoring affairs – 2‑4, 2‑3, 2‑3, 3‑2 and 1‑2 – with both sides finding the net each time, supporting the BTTS outlook.

Date	Result	Competition
22 Feb 2026	Zulte Waregem 2-4 Anderlecht	Jupiler Pro League
10 Aug 2025	Anderlecht 2-3 Zulte Waregem	Jupiler Pro League
18 Jan 2023	Anderlecht 2-3 Zulte Waregem	Jupiler Pro League
20 Oct 2022	Zulte Waregem 3-2 Anderlecht	Jupiler Pro League
12 Feb 2022	Zulte Waregem 1-2 Anderlecht	Jupiler Pro League

Team News (Pregame)

No notable injury concerns were on record for either side heading into this match.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Anderlecht vs Zulte Waregem?

Anderlecht won 3-0. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – Yes.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Zulte Waregem?

Anderlecht 3-0 Zulte Waregem (full time).

When was Anderlecht vs Zulte Waregem?

Anderlecht played Zulte Waregem on Sat 19 Sep · 19:45 BST in the Belgian Pro League at Lotto Park.

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Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score and to keep a clean sheet, and the xG gap suggests a realistic chance each side will register at least one goal.

Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org

Written by Lars

European Football Writer, TerraceBet — Continental European leagues from the Eredivisie to the Superliga