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Big 5 Europe

La Liga

Every fixture in the La Liga run through the same expected-goals framework, week after week.

Big 5 EuropeLeague ID 140Live coverage
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Covered by Robbo
Lead Predictions Writer · Big 5 Europe, UEFA competitions & the major domestic cups

Upcoming La Liga Previews

Regular Season - 5
Levante vs Barcelona
Sun 13 Sep · 15:15 BST
Barcelona to win 37.1%
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Regular Season - 5
Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna
Sun 13 Sep · 17:30 BST · Coliseum
Both teams to score - Yes 54.6%
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Regular Season - 5
Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
Sun 13 Sep · 20:00 BST · Anoeta
Both teams to score - No 50.9%
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Regular Season - 5
Villarreal vs Real Betis
Mon 14 Sep · 20:00 BST · Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal to win 49.3%
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Regular Season - 6
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
Tue 15 Sep · 18:00 BST · Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano Draw No Bet
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Regular Season - 6
Elche vs Real Madrid
Tue 15 Sep · 20:30 BST
Both teams to score - Yes 40.0%
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Regular Season - 6
Alaves vs Valencia
Tue 15 Sep · 19:00 BST · Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves to win 77.1%
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Regular Season - 6
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
Wed 16 Sep · 18:00 BST · Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid Draw No Bet
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Regular Season - 6
Levante vs Athletic Club
Wed 16 Sep · 20:30 BST
Both teams to score - Yes 58.5%
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Regular Season - 6
Barcelona vs Racing Santander
Wed 16 Sep · 20:30 BST · Camp Nou
Over 2.5 goals 81.7%
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Regular Season - 6
Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla
Wed 16 Sep · 18:00 BST · Estadio Municipal de Riazor
Both teams to score - Yes 74.7%
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Regular Season - 6
Real Betis vs Getafe
Thu 17 Sep · 18:00 BST · Estadio de La Cartuja
Getafe to win 44.8%
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Regular Season - 6
Malaga vs Villarreal
Thu 17 Sep · 20:30 BST · Estadio La Rosaleda
Under 2.5 goals 73.1%
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Regular Season - 7
Espanyol vs Elche
Fri 18 Sep · 20:00 BST · RCDE Stadium
Match to end in a draw 23.3%
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Regular Season - 7
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano
Sat 19 Sep · 13:00 BST · Estadio El Sadar
Rayo Vallecano to win 62.7%
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Recent La Liga Results & Verdicts

Regular Season - 5
Celta Vigo vs Malaga
Sun 13 Sep · 13:00 BST
Malaga to win 58.0%
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Regular Season - 5
Racing Santander vs Alaves
Sat 12 Sep · 13:00 BST · Estadio El Sardinero
Racing Santander to win 69.9%
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Regular Season - 5
Osasuna vs Espanyol
Sat 12 Sep · 15:15 BST · Estadio El Sadar
Under 2.5 goals 80.9%
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Regular Season - 5
Athletic Club vs Elche
Sat 12 Sep · 17:30 BST
Both teams to score - Yes 67.2%
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Regular Season - 5
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Sat 12 Sep · 20:00 BST
Over 2.5 goals 89.0%
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Regular Season - 5
Sevilla vs Valencia
Fri 11 Sep · 20:00 BST
Sevilla to win 48.8%
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Regular Season - 4
Elche vs Real Sociedad
Mon 7 Sep · 20:30 BST
Elche to win 58.0%
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Regular Season - 4
Getafe vs Celta Vigo
Mon 7 Sep · 18:00 BST · Coliseum
Celta Vigo to win 44.8%
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Regular Season - 4
Espanyol vs Sevilla
Sun 6 Sep · 20:00 BST · RCDE Stadium
Sevilla to win 58.1%
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Regular Season - 4
Alaves vs Osasuna
Sun 6 Sep · 17:30 BST · Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves to win 39.6%
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Regular Season - 4
Malaga vs Levante
Sun 6 Sep · 17:30 BST · Estadio La Rosaleda
Levante to win 44.8%
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Regular Season - 4
Valencia vs Barcelona
Sun 6 Sep · 15:15 BST · Estadio de Mestalla
Over 2.5 goals 88.4%
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About La Liga Coverage

La Liga is a two-speed league — Madrid and Barcelona hoovering up headlines at the top, and a mid-table that's genuinely hard to call most weekends. That gap between narrative and the underlying numbers is where the model does its best work.