Antwerp vs St. Truiden: Both teams to score - Yes
Antwerp and St. Truiden both average three expected goals per game, and the model rates the chance of both sides finding the net at 89.6%. The numbers point to a high‑scoring encounter.
Both clubs come into the clash with attacking intent – Antwerp have scored three goals per match on average at home, while St. Truiden match that output on the road. Their recent fixtures show plenty of goals, setting the stage for a game where the nets are likely to move.
Lars's Verdict
The model assigns an 89.6% probability to both sides scoring, driven by identical expected‑goals figures and recent high‑scoring performances.
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With Antwerp averaging 3.0 expected goals and St. Truiden averaging 3.0, the model gives a 89.6% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 10.4% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
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Combined expected goals of 6.0 (Antwerp 3.0 + St. Truiden 3.0) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 93.0% chance against 7.0% for Under.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Antwerp at 41.3%, the draw at 16.7%, and St. Truiden at 41.3% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 2-2 at 5.0% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Antwerp
Antwerp’s recent form shows a win 2‑1 over SK Beveren (H), a win 3‑0 at Kortrijk (A) and a 4‑4 draw with Genk (H). The three‑goal haul in the win at Kortrijk and the eight‑goal spectacle against Genk indicate a side that can both create and concede, reinforcing the expectation that they will score in this match.
St. Truiden
St. Truiden have drawn 1‑1 with Lommel United (H) and 3‑3 with Cercle Brugge (A). Both fixtures featured multiple goals, showing St. Truiden’s ability to find the net while also leaking goals, which aligns with the BTTS pick.
Head-to-Head
In the last five meetings, the scores have been 1‑0, 3‑3, 1‑0, 1‑1 and a dominant 6‑1 win for Antwerp, with three matches delivering two or more goals, supporting the expectation of both teams scoring this time.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Antwerp 1-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Antwerp 3-3 St. Truiden | Cup |
| 2 Nov 2025 | St. Truiden 1-0 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| 24 Jan 2025 | St. Truiden 1-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Antwerp 6-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Team News (Pregame)
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
St. Truiden won 4-1. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - Yes.
What was the final score of Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
Antwerp 1-4 St. Truiden (full time).
When was Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
Antwerp played St. Truiden on Sun 30 Aug · 15:00 BST in the Belgian Pro League at Bosuilstadion.
More Belgian Pro League This Week
See all Belgian Pro League fixtures →With each side averaging three goals per game and both recent results featuring multiple goals, the statistical case for both teams to hit the net is overwhelming.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
