Brentwood Town vs Concord Rangers: Both teams to score - Yes
The FA Cup tie pits Brentford‑area minnows Brentwood Town against Concord Rangers, with both sides posting identical expected‑goals of 1.35 and a 54.9% chance of both nets finding the back of the net.
Both clubs enter this first‑round fixture having produced a solitary league draw in their most recent outings – Brentwood Town 0‑0 away at Concord Rangers and Concord Rangers 0‑0 at home versus Brentwood – underscoring a mutual inability to break the deadlock in recent play.
Robbo's Verdict
The model assigns a 54.9% chance to both teams scoring, a clear edge over the alternative, making the BTTS market the most compelling selection.
Show the maths
With Brentwood Town averaging 1.35 expected goals and Concord Rangers averaging 1.35, the model gives a 54.9% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 45.1% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
Show the maths
Combined expected goals of 2.7 (Brentwood Town 1.35 + Concord Rangers 1.35) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 50.6% chance against 49.4% for Under.
Show the maths
Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Brentwood Town at 37.1%, the draw at 25.8%, and Concord Rangers at 37.1% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-1 at 12.2% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Brentwood Town
Brentwood Town’s most recent league result was a 0‑0 draw away at Concord Rangers, the only entry listed in their last five games. That goalless stalemate highlights a difficulty in converting chances, which supports the expectation that they will need to score to avoid a repeat of that result.
Concord Rangers
Concord Rangers likewise recorded a 0‑0 home draw against Brentwood Town in their latest league outing, the sole result shown in their recent form. This clean sheet indicates a defensive solidity that, combined with their equal xG, points to a scenario where both sides are likely to breach each other's defenses.
Head-to-Head
The recent head‑to‑head record includes a 0‑0 draw on 5 Sept 2026 and a 2‑2 draw on 1 Jan 2025, reinforcing the pattern of both teams scoring when the match opens up.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Concord Rangers 0-0 Brentwood Town | FA Cup |
| 1 Jan 2025 | Brentwood Town 2-2 Concord Rangers | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| 26 Aug 2024 | Concord Rangers 5-1 Brentwood Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| 1 Aug 2023 | Concord Rangers 1-0 Brentwood Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Team News (Pregame)
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Brentwood Town vs Concord Rangers?
Brentwood Town won 4-2. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - Yes.
What was the final score of Brentwood Town vs Concord Rangers?
Brentwood Town 4-2 Concord Rangers (full time).
When was Brentwood Town vs Concord Rangers?
Brentwood Town played Concord Rangers on Tue 8 Sep · 19:45 BST in the FA Cup at TBC.
More FA Cup This Week
See all FA Cup fixtures →Given the identical xG figures and a BTTS probability just above the 50% mark, the safest read is that both sides will find the net.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
