Brondby IF vs Viborg FF: Stay out – no edge
Both sides have a zero expected‑goals output and the model rates the match as a guaranteed 0‑0 draw, leaving the market odds for a Viborg win at 25% completely unsupported.
| Bookmaker | Brondby IF | Draw | Viborg FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.68 | 3.71 |
| 888sport | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Betano (UK) | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78 | 3.43 | 3.47 |
| Betfair | 1.94 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.75 |
| Betfred (UK) | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Betsson | 1.95 | 3.65 | 3.65 |
| Betway | 1.88 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Casumo | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90 | 3.65 | 3.70 |
| Coolbet | 1.90 | 3.85 | 3.75 |
| Coral | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Everygame | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.65 |
| GTbets | 1.92 | 3.75 | 3.69 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.75 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82 | 3.65 | 3.70 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.65 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88 | 3.68 | 3.72 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.95 | 3.65 | 3.65 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74 | 3.50 | 3.55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.74 | 3.80 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Smarkets | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Suprabets | 1.86 | 3.60 | 3.65 |
| Tipico | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75 | 3.30 | 3.35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82 | 3.60 | 3.45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
Brondby host Viborg in a Danish Superliga clash where neither team has generated any scoring threat this season, according to the model’s expected‑goals figures.
Lars's Verdict
The model gives Viborg a 0% win chance versus the market’s 25% implied probability, so there is no value in any match‑result wager.
Show the maths
With Brondby IF averaging 0.0 expected goals and Viborg FF averaging 0.0, the model gives a 100.0% chance at least one side fails to score, ahead of the 0.0% it gives to both teams scoring.
Show the maths
Combined expected goals of 0.0 (Brondby IF 0.0 + Viborg FF 0.0) points to a tighter game, with the model giving Under 2.5 Goals a 100.0% chance against 0.0% for Over.
Show the maths
Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Brondby IF at 0.0%, the draw at 100.0%, and Viborg FF at 0.0% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 0-0 at 100.0% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Brondby IF
Brondby’s recent five games have produced a pattern of low‑scoring draws and narrow defeats: a 1‑1 draw at home against FC Nordsjaelland, a 0‑2 loss at home to Aarhus, and a 1‑1 away draw at Aarhus. The lack of goals in these fixtures underlines the zero xG figure and supports the expectation of a goalless draw.
Viborg FF
Viborg’s form shows a mixture of tight games and heavy defeats: a 1‑0 home win over FC Nordsjaelland, a 3‑3 away draw with FC Midtjylland, and a 2‑6 away loss at Aarhus. The presence of a 0‑0 draw in their recent fixtures echoes the model’s zero‑goal forecast for both sides.
Head-to-Head
In the last five meetings, the teams have split results – most recently Viborg 0‑1 Brondby and Brondby 0‑1 Viborg – but none have produced more than a single goal, reinforcing the likelihood of another low‑scoring or goalless encounter.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | Viborg 0-1 Brondby | Superliga |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Brondby 0-1 Viborg | Superliga |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Viborg 1-0 Brondby | Superliga |
| 3 Aug 2025 | Brondby 0-2 Viborg | Superliga |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Brondby 4-1 Viborg | Superliga |
Odds Comparison
Best real-time prices sourced across UK & EU bookmakers. Markets move — always check the live price before betting.
| Market | Brondby IF | Draw | Viborg FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 1.95 | 3.85 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 (GTbets) | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 (Betsson) | ||
Odds shown are the best real prices found at time of writing. Always check the latest price with your bookmaker before betting. Available bookmakers and odds vary by region.
Team News
Brondby IF: No notable injury concerns on record.
Viborg FF: H. Bidstrup (Injury), T. Freriks (Knock), Y. Njoh (Injury), M. Riahi (Knee Injury)
Injury records reflect the current season on file and may not capture very recent knocks — confirmed lineups land closer to kickoff.
More From This Week
With the model showing absolute certainty of a goalless stalemate and the odds pricing Viborg as a legitimate winner, there is no statistical edge to exploit.
Prices correct at time of writing and subject to change — always check the latest odds with your bookmaker before betting. 18+ BeGambleAware.org