FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens: Both teams to score – No
Midtjylland host Horsens in a match where the model predicts a 0‑0 stalemate. Both sides have an expected goal value of zero, making a BTTS‑No outcome almost certain.
| Bookmaker | FC Midtjylland | Draw | AC Horsens |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| 888sport | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32 | 5.30 | 7.40 |
| Betano (UK) | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29 | 4.60 | 6.75 |
| Betfair | 1.37 | 5.40 | 9.00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Betfred (UK) | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Betsson | 1.30 | 5.30 | 9.40 |
| Betway | 1.35 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Casumo | 1.30 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35 | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| Coolbet | 1.33 | 5.25 | 9.00 |
| Coral | 1.33 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Everygame | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| GTbets | 1.37 | 4.94 | 7.93 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.33 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35 | 5.20 | 7.50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27 | 5.40 | 8.50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26 | 5.30 | 8.50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32 | 5.25 | 8.10 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.30 | 5.30 | 9.40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22 | 5.10 | 8.50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33 | 5.55 | 8.14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25 | 4.80 | 7.50 |
| Smarkets | 1.34 | 5.30 | 8.80 |
| Suprabets | 1.30 | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| Tipico | 1.28 | 5.30 | 8.50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27 | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26 | 5.30 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31 | 4.90 | 6.50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30 | 4.80 | 6.25 |
The Danish Superliga clash is a low‑stakes encounter for a Midtjylland side that has struggled to find the net at home, while Horsens travel looking for a point to keep their season alive.
Lars's Verdict
The model’s 100 % probability of BTTS‑No, driven by zero expected goals for each side, makes the market price for BTTS‑No (typically around 1.6) an overvalue.
Show the maths
With FC Midtjylland averaging 0.0 expected goals and AC Horsens averaging 0.0, the model gives a 100.0% chance at least one side fails to score, ahead of the 0.0% it gives to both teams scoring.
Show the maths
Combined expected goals of 0.0 (FC Midtjylland 0.0 + AC Horsens 0.0) points to a tighter game, with the model giving Under 2.5 Goals a 100.0% chance against 0.0% for Over.
Show the maths
Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has FC Midtjylland at 0.0%, the draw at 100.0%, and AC Horsens at 0.0% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 0-0 at 100.0% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
FC Midtjylland
Midtjylland’s recent league run includes a 0‑0 draw at Nordsjaelland, a 2‑3 loss to Brondby, and a 3‑2 win over Sonderjyske. The clean‑sheet against Nordsjaelland shows they can keep opponents from scoring, while the loss and win both featured both sides finding the net, underscoring the volatility but the 0‑0 result aligns with a BTTS‑No outlook for this fixture.
AC Horsens
Horsens have only one league result to cite – a 1‑1 draw at home to Nordsjaelland – where both sides scored. However, that solitary match also proves they can be held to a single goal, supporting the expectation that they will not both score in a low‑scoring encounter against a defensively solid Midtjylland.
Head-to-Head
In the last five meetings, Midtjylland have won three (3‑1, 2‑0, 1‑0) and Horsens have managed a 3‑3 draw, indicating a tendency for Midtjylland to dominate but also that high‑scoring games are rare, reinforcing the BTTS‑No case.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 14 May 2023 | FC Midtjylland 3-1 AC Horsens | Superliga |
| 23 Apr 2023 | AC Horsens 0-2 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| 16 Oct 2022 | FC Midtjylland 2-1 AC Horsens | Superliga |
| 12 Aug 2022 | AC Horsens 3-3 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| 14 Feb 2021 | FC Midtjylland 1-0 AC Horsens | Superliga |
Odds Comparison
Best real-time prices sourced across UK & EU bookmakers. Markets move — always check the live price before betting.
| Market | FC Midtjylland | Draw | AC Horsens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 1.37 | 5.55 | 9.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 (Betsson) | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 (William Hill) | ||
Odds shown are the best real prices found at time of writing. Always check the latest price with your bookmaker before betting. Available bookmakers and odds vary by region.
Team News
FC Midtjylland: O. Diao (Foot Injury), M. Gogorza (Hip Injury), Junior Brumado (Knee Injury)
AC Horsens: No notable injury concerns on record.
Injury records reflect the current season on file and may not capture very recent knocks — confirmed lineups land closer to kickoff.
More From This Week
With both clubs displaying negligible goal output and the model assigning a zero chance to both sides scoring, the logical read is that at least one team will fail to find the net.
Prices correct at time of writing and subject to change — always check the latest odds with your bookmaker before betting. 18+ BeGambleAware.org