Dartford vs Westfield (Surrey) preview by Robbo for TerraceBet
FA Cup · 1st Round Qualifying Replays FT · Dartford 2-0 Westfield (Surrey) TBC
Full Time Dartford 20 Westfield (Surrey) Dartford won

Dartford vs Westfield (Surrey): Both teams to score - Yes

Dartford and Westfield (Surrey) meet in the FA Cup with identical expected‑goals of 1.35. The model sees a razor‑thin edge to the result, but the scoring odds tip the balance toward both sides finding the net.

Robbo's Take
1
Headline Pick
Both teams to score - Yes Lost
Lean · Slight edge
2
Both Teams to Score
BTTS — Yes Lost
54.9% model probability
3
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals Lost
50.6% model probability

Both clubs entered the tie after a single league draw, so neither side arrives with recent wins or defeats to sway momentum. The match is effectively a reset, pitting two evenly matched squads against each other in a knockout setting.

Robbo's Verdict

Lean
Both teams to score - Yes Lost Solid lean Lean · Slight edge

The model assigns a 54.9% chance to both sides scoring, outpacing the 45.1% chance of a clean sheet, making the BTTS – Yes market the most compelling.

Show the maths
Both teams have an expected goals value of 1.35, which the model converts into equal win probabilities of 37.1% each and a 25.8% draw chance. From these figures the model derives a 54.9% BTTS probability, reflecting that the combined xG suggests at least one goal from each side in more than half of the simulated outcomes. The BTTS – Yes market therefore aligns with the highest single‑event probability from the model.
Pick 2 · Both Teams to Score
Both Teams to Score — Yes Lost 54.9% model probability

With Dartford averaging 1.35 expected goals and Westfield (Surrey) averaging 1.35, the model gives a 54.9% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 45.1% it gives to at least one side being kept out.

Show the maths
BTTS probability is derived from each side's expected goals (Dartford 1.35, Westfield (Surrey) 1.35) run through the same Poisson goal-expectancy model used for the match result: 54.9% of simulated outcomes have both teams scoring at least once, versus 45.1% where at least one side is shut out.
Pick 3 · Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals Lost 50.6% model probability

Combined expected goals of 2.7 (Dartford 1.35 + Westfield (Surrey) 1.35) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 50.6% chance against 49.4% for Under.

Show the maths
Total goals probability comes from the same Poisson model summing both teams' expected goals (Dartford 1.35 + Westfield (Surrey) 1.35 = 2.7 combined): 50.6% of simulated outcomes finish with 3 or more goals, versus 49.4% finishing with 2 or fewer.
Match Result Model

Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Dartford at 37.1%, the draw at 25.8%, and Westfield (Surrey) at 37.1% to win.

Most Likely Scoreline

The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-1 at 12.2% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.

The Numbers Behind the Headline

Dartford expected goals
1.35
Westfield (Surrey) expected goals
1.35
Model BTTS probability
54.9%

Most likely scorelines

11-1
12.2%
20-1
9.1%
31-0
9.1%

Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.

Form Guide — Last 5

Dartford

D

Dartford's last five league games include a 1-1 draw against Westfield (Surrey) away, their only result listed. This recent draw, coupled with a zero home goals‑for average, signals that Dartford has struggled to impose its attack, reinforcing the expectation of a low‑scoring but potentially open encounter.

Westfield (Surrey)

D

Westfield (Surrey) likewise recorded a 1-1 home draw versus Dartford as their sole recent league result. Their away goals‑for average of zero mirrors Dartford's home record, underlining a mutual difficulty in scoring, which supports the view that any goals are likely to come from both sides rather than a clean sheet.

Head-to-Head

The most recent head‑to‑head meeting on 5 September 2026 ended 1-1, directly matching the model's top predicted scoreline and confirming the BTTS likelihood.

DateResultCompetition
5 Sep 2026Westfield (Surrey) 1-1 DartfordFA Cup

Team News (Pregame)

No notable injury concerns were on record for either side heading into this match.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Dartford vs Westfield (Surrey)?

Dartford won 2-0. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - Yes.

What was the final score of Dartford vs Westfield (Surrey)?

Dartford 2-0 Westfield (Surrey) (full time).

When was Dartford vs Westfield (Surrey)?

Dartford played Westfield (Surrey) on Tue 8 Sep · 19:45 BST in the FA Cup at TBC.

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Given the identical scoring rates and the higher likelihood of both sides scoring, the safest read points to both teams finding the back of the net.

Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org

Robbo, Lead Predictions Writer at TerraceBet
Written by Robbo
Lead Predictions Writer, TerraceBet — Big 5 Europe, UEFA competitions & the major domestic cups
Priya, Fact-Checking Editor at TerraceBet
Fact-checked by Priya
Fact-Checking Editor, TerraceBet — every stat and claim verified against the underlying data