Fakenham Town vs Ware: Both teams to score - Yes
Fakenham Town and Ware arrive at the FA Cup tie with identical expected‑goal figures of 1.35, and a model BTTS probability just above 50 %. The data points to a game where both sides are likely to find the net.
Both clubs have struggled to score at home or away – their season‑long goals‑for averages sit at zero – yet their recent match‑by‑match records show they can still breach defenses, as evidenced by the 3‑3 draw between them last weekend.
Robbo's Verdict
The model’s BTTS‑Yes probability of 54.9 % outweighs the under‑2.5 chance, making a goal from each side the most likely outcome.
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With Fakenham Town averaging 1.35 expected goals and Ware averaging 1.35, the model gives a 54.9% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 45.1% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
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Combined expected goals of 2.7 (Fakenham Town 1.35 + Ware 1.35) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 50.6% chance against 49.4% for Under.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Fakenham Town at 37.1%, the draw at 25.8%, and Ware at 37.1% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-1 at 12.2% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Fakenham Town
Fakenham Town’s recent five‑game run reads L‑L‑D‑L‑D, with a 0‑5 loss to AFC Hornchurch and a 0‑3 defeat at Cornard United highlighting defensive frailties, while a 1‑1 home draw with Wroxham shows they can still find the net. This mix of heavy defeats and occasional scoring underpins the expectation that they will at least score once against Ware.
Ware
Ware’s latest five‑game stretch is a solitary D, but the 3‑3 home draw with Fakenham Town demonstrates their capacity to produce goals in this fixture. The lack of recent wins or losses suggests they are evenly matched, reinforcing the likelihood of both sides scoring.
Head-to-Head
The most recent head‑to‑head meeting on 5 Sept 2026 finished 3‑3, a high‑scoring draw that directly supports the BTTS‑Yes outlook.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Ware 3-3 Fakenham Town | FA Cup |
Team News (Pregame)
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Fakenham Town vs Ware?
Ware won 3-1. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - Yes.
What was the final score of Fakenham Town vs Ware?
Fakenham Town 1-3 Ware (full time).
When was Fakenham Town vs Ware?
Fakenham Town played Ware on Tue 8 Sep · 19:45 BST in the FA Cup at TBC.
More FA Cup This Week
See all FA Cup fixtures →With both sides averaging no goals per game yet repeatedly producing high‑scoring draws, the most compelling read is that both will score this time around.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
