Kifisia vs Levadiakos: Both teams to score - No
Kifisia average 1.0 xG at home while Levadiakos limp to 0.0 xG away, and the model rates Levadiakos' defence as leaky. Both sides' recent form reinforces a low‑scoring outlook.
Kifisia host Levadiakos in the Super League Greece after a mixed three‑game run that saw a 3‑2 win over Larisa followed by a draw with AEK Athens and a 0‑2 loss at OFI. Levadiakos arrive on a five‑game win‑less streak, conceding heavily in four of those fixtures.
Lars's Verdict
The model assigns a 53.2% chance that only one side will find the net, driven by Levadiakos’ zero away xG and Kifisia’s modest home scoring rate.
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With Kifisia averaging 1.0 expected goals and Levadiakos averaging 1.35, the model gives a 53.2% chance at least one side fails to score, ahead of the 46.8% it gives to both teams scoring.
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Combined expected goals of 2.4 (Kifisia 1.0 + Levadiakos 1.35) points to a tighter game, with the model giving Under 2.5 Goals a 58.3% chance against 41.7% for Over.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Kifisia at 27.7%, the draw at 27.5%, and Levadiakos at 44.8% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 0-1 at 12.9% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Kifisia
Kifisia’s recent form includes a 3‑2 home win over Larisa and a 1‑1 home draw against AEK Athens, showing they can score but also concede. Their latest loss 0‑2 away at OFI highlights defensive vulnerability, meaning they may struggle to keep a clean sheet, yet the low xG suggests only a single goal is likely, supporting a BTTS No outcome.
Levadiakos
Levadiakos have not scored in four of their last five league games, including 0‑3 away at Aris Thessalonikis and 0‑4 away at PAOK, while conceding heavily. Their sole recent win, a 3‑2 home victory over OFI, is an outlier; the prevailing trend of zero away goals underlines the probability that they will not score in this fixture, favoring BTTS No.
Head-to-Head
The recent head‑to‑head shows Levadiakos winning 2‑0 in January 2026 and 3‑2 in August 2025, but earlier matches include a 1‑0 Kifisia win and a 1‑4 Levadiakos loss, indicating no consistent scoring pattern, which leans toward a single‑team goal scenario.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Kifisia 1-0 Levadiakos | Super League 1 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Levadiakos 2-0 Kifisia | Cup |
| 25 Aug 2025 | Levadiakos 3-2 Kifisia | Super League 1 |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Kifisia None-None Levadiakos | Super League 2 |
| 6 Apr 2022 | Kifisia 1-4 Levadiakos | Super League 2 |
Team News
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win Kifisia vs Levadiakos?
Both teams to score - No. The model assigns a 53.2% chance that only one side will find the net, driven by Levadiakos’ zero away xG and Kifisia’s modest home scoring rate.
What does the model give Kifisia vs Levadiakos?
Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, gives Kifisia a 27.7% chance, the draw 27.5%, and Levadiakos 44.8% to win.
When is Kifisia vs Levadiakos?
Kifisia play Levadiakos on Sun 13 Sep · 19:00 BST in the Super League Greece at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.
More Super League Greece This Week
See all Super League Greece fixtures →Given the low expected goals from both sides and Levadiakos’ inability to find the net away, the most probable outcome is a clean sheet for at least one team.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
