Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom: Both teams to score - Yes
Legia Warszawa enter the clash with a 3.0 expected‑goals edge while Radomiak Radom sit at 1.0. Both sides have consistently found the net in recent meetings, making a double‑scorer likely.
The Ekstraklasa hosts a classic power‑play between Legia's potent attack and Radomiak's resilient away form. With Legia's home‑goals average at three per game and Radomiak averaging a goal on the road, the match promises scoring opportunities at both ends.
Lars's Verdict
Legia’s three‑goal expected output and Radomiak’s one‑goal expectation, together with recent matches where each side has scored, point to a high probability of both sides scoring.
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With Legia Warszawa averaging 3.0 expected goals and Radomiak Radom averaging 1.0, the model gives a 59.8% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 40.2% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
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Combined expected goals of 4.0 (Legia Warszawa 3.0 + Radomiak Radom 1.0) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 75.8% chance against 24.2% for Under.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Legia Warszawa at 77.1%, the draw at 13.1%, and Radomiak Radom at 9.4% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 2-0 at 8.2% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Legia Warszawa
Legia’s last three league games are all wins: a 4‑0 home thrashing of Motor Lublin, a 1‑0 away win at Pogon Szczecin, and a 3‑1 home victory over Zaglebie Lubin. They have scored in every match and even when they conceded (3‑1), they still found the net, indicating they are likely to score again while also being vulnerable to a reply.
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak’s recent league form includes a 2‑1 home win against Wieczysta Kraków and a 1‑3 away loss to GKS Katowice. They scored in both fixtures, showing they can breach Legia’s defence, while conceding three away hints they may also be on the receiving end of a goal.
Head-to-Head
All five recent head‑to‑head meetings have featured both teams on the scoresheet – the latest being a 3‑1 win for Legia – confirming a pattern that supports both sides scoring this time out.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | Legia Warszawa 3-1 Radomiak Radom | Friendlies Clubs |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Radomiak Radom 1-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Legia Warszawa 4-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Radomiak Radom 3-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| 18 Aug 2024 | Legia Warszawa 4-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
Team News (Pregame)
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?
Legia Warszawa won 5-0. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - Yes.
What was the final score of Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?
Legia Warszawa 5-0 Radomiak Radom (full time).
When was Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?
Legia Warszawa played Radomiak Radom on Fri 14 Aug · 19:30 BST in the Ekstraklasa at Stadion Wojska Polskiego.
More Ekstraklasa This Week
See all Ekstraklasa fixtures →Given the steady scoring pattern from both clubs and the head‑to‑head record where every encounter has produced goals for each side, the safest read is that both teams will find the back of the net.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
