Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos: Both teams to score - No
Levadiakos host Panathinaikos in a clash where both sides sit on identical expected‑goals of 1.35. The model’s 54.9% BTTS probability makes a goalless‑to‑single‑goal outcome the most likely scenario.
Levadiakos have ridden a three‑game winning streak before hitting two defeats, while Panathinaikos arrive with no recent form data supplied. The recent head‑to‑head record shows the visitors winning four of the last five meetings, the latest being a 4‑1 away triumph.
Lars's Verdict
The model assigns a 45.1% chance of a clean sheet for at least one side, making the ‘Both teams to score – No’ pick the logical choice.
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With Levadiakos averaging 1.35 expected goals and Panathinaikos averaging 1.35, the model gives a 54.9% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 45.1% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
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Combined expected goals of 2.7 (Levadiakos 1.35 + Panathinaikos 1.35) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 50.6% chance against 49.4% for Under.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Levadiakos at 37.1%, the draw at 25.8%, and Panathinaikos at 37.1% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-1 at 12.2% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Levadiakos
Levadiakos opened the five‑game stretch with a 5‑2 home win over Volos NFC and followed with a 3‑0 away victory against the same side, then secured a 3‑2 home win over OFI. The subsequent 0‑3 away loss to Aris Thessalonikis and a 0‑4 defeat at PAOK dropped their momentum, indicating defensive frailties that could keep them from conceding in the upcoming match.
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos’ recent form is not provided, so no specific recent results can be cited. The lack of data means we rely on the overall statistical balance and head‑to‑head trends rather than recent performance.
Head-to-Head
In the last five meetings, Panathinaikos have won four, including a 4‑1 win on 8 March 2026, while Levadiakos managed only a 1‑1 draw in August 2025, suggesting the visitors often dominate and are likely to keep a clean sheet.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | Levadiakos 1-4 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Panathinaikos 1-1 Levadiakos | Super League 1 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Levadiakos 0-1 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Panathinaikos 1-0 Levadiakos | Super League 1 |
| 3 Jan 2023 | Levadiakos 0-1 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
Team News (Pregame)
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos?
Panathinaikos won 2-0. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - No.
What was the final score of Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos?
Levadiakos 0-2 Panathinaikos (full time).
When was Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos?
Levadiakos played Panathinaikos on Mon 31 Aug · 17:30 BST in the Super League Greece at Levadia Stadium.
More Super League Greece This Week
See all Super League Greece fixtures →Given the balanced xG but a slightly higher chance of only one side finding the net, the safest read is that both teams will not score.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
