Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow: Both teams to score - Yes
Radomiak's 1.5 xG meets Cracovia's 1.35 xG, while the BTTS model sits at 57.5 %. Both sides have shown recent goal‑scoring volatility, pointing to a likely open encounter.
Both clubs come into this Ekstraklasa clash with contrasting recent runs – Radomiak has slipped to a single win in five, while Cracovia has rallied to two wins from their last five. The fixture pits a modest home side against an away team that has struggled to find the net, setting up a test of attacking resolve.
Lars's Verdict
The model assigns a 57.5 % chance to both sides scoring, driven by Radomiak’s 1.5 xG and Cracovia’s recent defensive frailties despite a zero away goal average.
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With Radomiak Radom averaging 1.5 expected goals and Cracovia Krakow averaging 1.35, the model gives a 57.5% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 42.5% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
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Combined expected goals of 2.9 (Radomiak Radom 1.5 + Cracovia Krakow 1.35) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 54.2% chance against 45.8% for Under.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Radomiak Radom at 40.9%, the draw at 24.9%, and Cracovia Krakow at 34.2% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-1 at 11.7% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak’s recent five-game stretch reads W‑L‑L‑L, highlighted by a 2‑1 home win over Wieczysta Kraków and a heavy 0‑5 defeat at Legia Warszawa. The win shows they can breach defenses, while the three consecutive losses, especially the 1‑3 defeats, reveal defensive lapses that invite opposition goals – supporting the BTTS outlook.
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia’s form of D‑L‑D‑W‑W includes a 2‑1 home victory over Raków Częstochowa and a 3‑2 home win versus Wieczysta Kraków, both matches where they both scored and conceded. Their recent draws (0‑0) and a loss (0‑2) indicate they can also be shut out, but the two recent wins with goals on both sides suggest they are capable of scoring away when in form.
Head-to-Head
In the last five meetings, Radomiak has won three, including a 3‑0 triumph in November 2025, while Cracovia’s only clean sheet was a 0‑0 draw in May 2026 – the head‑to‑head trend favors both sides scoring, given the 1‑2 and 2‑1 results.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | Cracovia Krakow 0-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Radomiak Radom 3-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 1-2 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Radomiak Radom 2-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| 3 Jul 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 0-1 Radomiak Radom | Friendlies Clubs |
Team News (Pregame)
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow?
Radomiak Radom won 2-1. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - Yes.
What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow?
Radomiak Radom 2-1 Cracovia Krakow (full time).
When was Radomiak Radom vs Cracovia Krakow?
Radomiak Radom played Cracovia Krakow on Sat 29 Aug · 11:15 BST in the Ekstraklasa at TBC.
More Ekstraklasa This Week
See all Ekstraklasa fixtures →Given the model’s BTTS odds and the recent form showing both teams capable of finding the net, the safest reading is that both sides will score at least once.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
