Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice: Both teams to score - No
Radomiak Radom's 1.3 expected goals edge Piast Gliwice's 0.7, and the model gives a 63.4% chance of a clean sheet for both sides. That makes a no‑both‑teams‑to‑score bet the safest read.
Both clubs come into the clash with shaky defenses – Radomiak have let in 1.3 per game at home while Piast have conceded 1.7 on the road. After a mixed run of form, each side will look to tighten up at the back.
Lars's Verdict
With Radomiak's home xG of 1.3 versus Piast's away xG of 0.7 and a 63.4% BTTS‑No probability, the odds favour a clean‑sheet scenario.
Show the maths
With Radomiak Radom averaging 1.3 expected goals and Piast Gliwice averaging 0.7, the model gives a 63.4% chance at least one side fails to score, ahead of the 36.6% it gives to both teams scoring.
Show the maths
Combined expected goals of 2.0 (Radomiak Radom 1.3 + Piast Gliwice 0.7) points to a tighter game, with the model giving Under 2.5 Goals a 67.7% chance against 32.3% for Over.
Show the maths
Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Radomiak Radom at 51.0%, the draw at 29.0%, and Piast Gliwice at 20.1% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-0 at 17.6% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak's last five league games read LLDWD, highlighted by a 2‑1 home win over Cracovia and a 0‑0 home draw with Zaglebie Lubin. Those results show they can score and also keep a clean sheet, underpinning the expectation of limited goals in this encounter.
Piast Gliwice
Piast's recent run LLDWW includes a 2‑0 away win at Motor Lublin and a 3‑0 home victory over GKS Katowice, but both were preceded by heavy losses, indicating an inconsistent defence that still often fails to concede. This mixed form backs the view that both sides may stay quiet.
Head-to-Head
In the last five meetings, there have been three games with both sides scoring (2‑3, 1‑1, 3‑1) and two clean‑sheet results (0‑0, 1‑0), suggesting a balanced but low‑scoring trend that aligns with the BTTS‑No pick.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | Piast Gliwice 3-1 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Radomiak Radom 1-0 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| 4 May 2025 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Radomiak Radom 1-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| 8 Mar 2024 | Piast Gliwice 2-3 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
Team News
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is predicted to win Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice?
Both teams to score - No. With Radomiak's home xG of 1.3 versus Piast's away xG of 0.7 and a 63.4% BTTS‑No probability, the odds favour a clean‑sheet scenario.
What does the model give Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice?
Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, gives Radomiak Radom a 51.0% chance, the draw 29.0%, and Piast Gliwice 20.1% to win.
When is Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice?
Radomiak Radom play Piast Gliwice on Mon 14 Sep · 18:00 BST in the Ekstraklasa at TBC.
More Ekstraklasa This Week
See all Ekstraklasa fixtures →The model's 63.4% probability that both sides will fail to find the net, combined with a 67.7% chance of under 2.5 goals, points to a match where goals are scarce.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
