Silkeborg vs Viborg preview by Lars for TerraceBet
Danish Superliga · Regular Season - 8 FT · Silkeborg 1-1 Viborg Jysk Park
Full Time Silkeborg 11 Viborg Draw

Silkeborg vs Viborg: Both teams to score - No

Silkeborg host Viborg in a fixture where both sides average one expected goal, and the model puts a 60% chance that neither will find the net.

Lars's Take
1
Headline Pick
Both teams to score - No Lost
Solid · Defensive balance
2
Both Teams to Score
BTTS — No Lost
60.0% model probability
3
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals Won
67.7% model probability

Both clubs have produced identical expected‑goal figures of 1.0, suggesting a balanced attack but modest firepower. With Silkeborg's home defence conceding 1.3 per game and Viborg's away defence holding at 1.0, the match leans toward a tight, low‑scoring encounter.

Lars's Verdict

Solid
Both teams to score - No Lost Strong lean Solid · Defensive balance

The model assigns a 60% chance that only one side will find the net, reflecting Silkeborg's 1.3 goals‑against at home and Viborg's 1.0 away concession.

Show the maths
Both clubs sit at 1.0 expected goals, so the model expects a total of roughly two goals. Silkeborg concedes 1.3 at home while Viborg concedes just 1.0 away, reducing the likelihood of both sides scoring. The BTTS‑No probability of 40.0% for a yes outcome translates to a 60% chance of no, which the model uses to set the headline pick.
Pick 2 · Both Teams to Score
Both Teams to Score — No (one side kept off the scoresheet) Lost 60.0% model probability

With Silkeborg averaging 1.0 expected goals and Viborg averaging 1.0, the model gives a 60.0% chance at least one side fails to score, ahead of the 40.0% it gives to both teams scoring.

Show the maths
BTTS probability is derived from each side's expected goals (Silkeborg 1.0, Viborg 1.0) run through the same Poisson goal-expectancy model used for the match result: 40.0% of simulated outcomes have both teams scoring at least once, versus 60.0% where at least one side is shut out.
Pick 3 · Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals Won 67.7% model probability

Combined expected goals of 2.0 (Silkeborg 1.0 + Viborg 1.0) points to a tighter game, with the model giving Under 2.5 Goals a 67.7% chance against 32.3% for Over.

Show the maths
Total goals probability comes from the same Poisson model summing both teams' expected goals (Silkeborg 1.0 + Viborg 1.0 = 2.0 combined): 32.3% of simulated outcomes finish with 3 or more goals, versus 67.7% finishing with 2 or fewer.
Match Result Model

Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Silkeborg at 34.6%, the draw at 30.9%, and Viborg at 34.6% to win.

Most Likely Scoreline

The single most likely scoreline in our model is 0-0 at 13.5% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.

The Numbers Behind the Headline

Silkeborg expected goals
1.0
Viborg expected goals
1.0
Model BTTS probability
60.0%

Most likely scorelines

10-0
13.5%
20-1
13.5%
31-0
13.5%

Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.

Form Guide — Last 5

Silkeborg

WLLDD

Silkeborg's last five league results are W‑L‑L‑D‑D, featuring a 1‑0 win over Odense and a 1‑1 draw with FC Midtjylland. Those games show they can score but often fail to keep a clean sheet, supporting a scenario where they might not score at all.

Viborg

DWWWL

Viborg's recent run of D‑W‑W‑W‑L includes a 4‑0 thrashing of FC Copenhagen and a 3‑2 win at AC Horsens, yet they were held scoreless in a 0‑2 loss to Lyngby. This mix of high‑scoring wins and a recent shutout underlines the chance they could be kept off the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head

In the last five meetings, Viborg have won three times, including a 1‑0 win on 2026‑02‑08, while Silkeborg have suffered two defeats, indicating Viborg's recent edge does not guarantee both sides will score.

DateResultCompetition
8 Feb 2026Silkeborg 0-1 ViborgSuperliga
17 Aug 2025Viborg 2-3 SilkeborgSuperliga
24 May 2025Silkeborg 1-2 ViborgSuperliga
13 Apr 2025Viborg 2-1 SilkeborgSuperliga
24 Feb 2025Viborg 1-4 SilkeborgSuperliga

Team News (Pregame)

Silkeborg: A. Busch (Ankle Injury), M. Freundlich (Knee Injury), P. Ganchas (Inactive), M. Jonsson (Coach's decision)

Viborg: T. Freriks (Knock), Y. Njoh (Injury), M. Riahi (Knee Injury), M. Hoedemakers (Inactive)

Injury records reflect the team news on file heading into this match.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Silkeborg vs Viborg?

Silkeborg and Viborg drew 1-1. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - No.

What was the final score of Silkeborg vs Viborg?

Silkeborg 1-1 Viborg (full time).

When was Silkeborg vs Viborg?

Silkeborg played Viborg on Sun 13 Sep · 13:00 BST in the Danish Superliga at Jysk Park.

More Danish Superliga This Week

See all Danish Superliga fixtures →

Given the identical xG, modest home/away goal averages, and the model's 60% BTTS‑No probability, the safest reading is that at least one side will fail to score.

Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org

Lars, European Football Writer at TerraceBet
Written by Lars
European Football Writer, TerraceBet — Continental European leagues from the Eredivisie to the Superliga
Priya, Fact-Checking Editor at TerraceBet
Fact-checked by Priya
Fact-Checking Editor, TerraceBet — every stat and claim verified against the underlying data