Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem: Both teams to score - Yes
Union St. Gilloise host Zulte Waregem in a Belgian Pro League clash where both sides boast identical expected‑goal rates of 1.35. The model leans toward both teams finding the net.
Gilloise arrive on a two‑match winning streak, highlighted by a 5‑1 demolition of Anderlecht at home. Waregem have mirrored that form with away and home victories, including a 3‑2 win at Cercle Brugge. Both clubs come in fresh and intent on extending their runs.
Lars's Verdict
Both Union St. Gilloise and Zulte Waregem are expected to score, given their identical 1.35 xG and the 54.9% BTTS probability from the model.
Show the maths
With Union St. Gilloise averaging 1.35 expected goals and Zulte Waregem averaging 1.35, the model gives a 54.9% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 45.1% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
Show the maths
Combined expected goals of 2.7 (Union St. Gilloise 1.35 + Zulte Waregem 1.35) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 50.6% chance against 49.4% for Under.
Show the maths
Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Union St. Gilloise at 37.1%, the draw at 25.8%, and Zulte Waregem at 37.1% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-1 at 12.2% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise’s recent form features a 5‑1 home win over Anderlecht and a 5‑1 away victory against KVC Westerlo. Scoring five goals in each of those matches demonstrates a potent attack, reinforcing the expectation that they will find the net against Waregem.
Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem have come off a 3‑2 away win at Cercle Brugge and a 2‑1 home win over Dender. Both results show they can score multiple goals while still conceding, indicating they are likely to add to the score sheet at Gilloise.
Head-to-Head
In the last five meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 2‑0, 2‑1, and 1‑4, while Zulte Waregem suffered 4‑0 and 1‑3 defeats. Three of those games featured both teams scoring, bolstering the BTTS outlook.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 2-0 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Zulte Waregem | Cup |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Zulte Waregem 1-4 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| 5 Feb 2023 | Union St. Gilloise 4-0 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| 4 Sep 2022 | Zulte Waregem 1-3 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
Team News (Pregame)
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?
Union St. Gilloise and Zulte Waregem drew 0-0. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - Yes.
What was the final score of Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?
Union St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte Waregem (full time).
When was Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem?
Union St. Gilloise played Zulte Waregem on Sat 15 Aug · 15:00 BST in the Belgian Pro League at Stade Joseph Marien.
More Belgian Pro League This Week
See all Belgian Pro League fixtures →With equal firepower and a recent history of shared goals, the most sensible read is that both teams will put a ball in the net.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
