Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock: Both teams to score – No
Wisla Krakow and Wisla Plock both average two goals per game, but their defensive records sit at one goal conceded each. The model sees a 74.7% chance both sides will score, yet the over‑2.5 odds dominate at 76.1%.
Both clubs come into this Ekstraklasa clash with identical expected‑goals figures (2.0 each) and a solid defensive average of one goal allowed per match. With no clear edge in the model’s win probabilities – 39.6% for each side and a 20.7% draw – the key question is whether both attacks will break through.
Lars's Verdict
The model assigns just a 25.3% chance of a clean‑sheet result, making the No BTTS option the most defensible pick.
Show the maths
With Wisla Krakow averaging 2.0 expected goals and Wisla Plock averaging 2.0, the model gives a 74.7% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 25.3% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
Show the maths
Combined expected goals of 4.0 (Wisla Krakow 2.0 + Wisla Plock 2.0) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 76.1% chance against 23.9% for Under.
Show the maths
Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Wisla Krakow at 39.6%, the draw at 20.7%, and Wisla Plock at 39.6% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-1 at 7.3% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Wisla Krakow
Wisla Krakow’s recent league run includes a 2‑1 home win over GKS Katowice and a 3‑4 away loss to Piast Gliwice. The win shows they can produce goals against comparable opposition, while the loss demonstrates defensive frailty, suggesting they may concede even when they score – a factor that supports the possibility of a single‑team scoreline.
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock’s last five results feature a 2‑2 draw at Lech Poznan, a 2‑1 away victory over Raków Częstochowa, and a 0‑0 home draw with Widzew Łódź. The clean sheet against Widzew shows they can keep a game shut‑out, while the two recent goals against stronger opponents indicate they still have attacking threat, reinforcing the chance that only one side will find the net.
Head-to-Head
In the five most recent meetings, four matches (including a 1‑5 win and three 1‑3 or 1‑1 ties) featured goals from both sides, which aligns with the high BTTS probability but also highlights that a clean sheet is not unheard of.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2025 | Wisla Krakow 1-3 Wisla Plock | I Liga |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Wisla Plock 1-3 Wisla Krakow | I Liga |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Wisla Plock 1-1 Wisla Krakow | I Liga |
| 1 Oct 2023 | Wisla Krakow 0-0 Wisla Plock | I Liga |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Wisla Plock 1-5 Wisla Krakow | Friendlies Clubs |
Team News (Pregame)
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock?
Wisla Krakow won 2-1. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – No.
What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock?
Wisla Krakow 2-1 Wisla Plock (full time).
When was Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock?
Wisla Krakow played Wisla Plock on Fri 7 Aug · 19:30 BST in the Ekstraklasa at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
More Ekstraklasa This Week
See all Ekstraklasa fixtures →Given the high BTTS probability (74.7%) and the balanced xG outlook, the safer line is to back the opposite – a match where only one side hits the net.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
