Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren: Zulte Waregem draw no bet
Zulte Waregem’s 2.0 expected goals clash with Beveren’s 1.0, and the model rates the home side at a 60.5% chance of victory. The numbers point to a clear advantage for the hosts.
Both clubs enter the encounter with contrasting recent form – Zulte Waregem have managed a win and a draw in their last two league outings, while Beveren have slipped to a loss in their most recent game. The disparity in goal‑scoring averages (2.0 for Waregem at home versus 1.0 for Beveren away) sets the stage for a one‑sided contest.
Lars's Verdict
The model gives Waregem an 81.7% chance of avoiding defeat (win + draw), making the draw‑no‑bet market the most reliable option.
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With Zulte Waregem averaging 2.0 expected goals and SK Beveren averaging 1.0, the model gives a 54.6% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 45.4% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
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Combined expected goals of 3.0 (Zulte Waregem 2.0 + SK Beveren 1.0) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 57.7% chance against 42.3% for Under.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Zulte Waregem at 60.5%, the draw at 21.2%, and SK Beveren at 18.3% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-0 at 10.0% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Zulte Waregem
Waregem’s recent form includes a 2-1 home win over Genk and a goalless draw away at Union St. Gilloise, showing they can both score and keep a clean sheet. Those results underline their ability to secure points at home, supporting the expectation of a win or at least a draw in this fixture.
SK Beveren
Beveren’s latest outing was a 1-2 away loss to Antwerp, highlighting defensive frailties on the road. Coupled with a lack of recent positive results, this form suggests they are unlikely to overturn the home side’s advantage.
Head-to-Head
Head‑to‑head meetings have been mixed, with the most recent 3-2 win for Beveren in 2025 and a 4-0 victory for Waregem in 2024, but the overall trend leans toward Waregem’s scoring potency, reinforcing the draw‑no‑bet pick.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2025 | SK Beveren 3-2 Zulte Waregem | Challenger Pro League |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Zulte Waregem 4-0 SK Beveren | Challenger Pro League |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Zulte Waregem 0-1 SK Beveren | Challenger Pro League |
| 8 Oct 2023 | SK Beveren 0-3 Zulte Waregem | Challenger Pro League |
| 16 Jan 2021 | SK Beveren 1-5 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
Team News (Pregame)
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren?
Zulte Waregem won 2-0. Our pre-match pick was Zulte Waregem draw no bet.
What was the final score of Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren?
Zulte Waregem 2-0 SK Beveren (full time).
When was Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren?
Zulte Waregem played SK Beveren on Sat 22 Aug · 15:00 BST in the Belgian Pro League at Elindus Arena.
More Belgian Pro League This Week
See all Belgian Pro League fixtures →With the model assigning a decisive edge to Waregem and the statistical gap favouring their attack, the safest bet is to back the home side’s chance of not losing.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
