AIK vs Örgryte IS: No bet recommended
Örgryte IS are priced at 6.5 to upset AIK in this Allsvenskan clash, a price that suggests they are a long‑shot. With no concrete xG or form metrics to compare, the market odds are the only indicator we have.
AIK host Örgryte IS at Friends Arena as strong favourites on current form. A routine win for AIK would be very much in line with the odds, while an upset would be a genuine shock given the pricing.
Lars's Verdict
With only the odds available and no supporting performance data, we cannot justify a wager that offers value beyond the market price.
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With AIK averaging 1.2 expected goals and Örgryte IS averaging 0.4, the model gives a 77.0% chance at least one side fails to score, ahead of the 23.0% it gives to both teams scoring.
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Combined expected goals of 1.6 (AIK 1.2 + Örgryte IS 0.4) points to a tighter game, with the model giving Under 2.5 Goals a 78.3% chance against 21.7% for Over.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has AIK at 56.6%, the draw at 31.1%, and Örgryte IS at 12.3% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-0 at 24.2% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
AIK
No recent form data has been provided for AIK, so we cannot reference specific recent results.
Örgryte IS
No recent form data has been provided for Örgryte IS, so we cannot reference specific recent results.
Head-to-Head
Head‑to‑head information is unavailable for this pairing, preventing a direct historical comparison.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb 2022 | AIK Stockholm 2-0 Orgryte IS | Svenska Cupen |
| 1 Mar 2020 | Orgryte IS 0-1 AIK Stockholm | Svenska Cupen |
Team News (Pregame)
AIK: T. Ayari (Injury), I. Cisse (Ankle Injury), E. Edh (Inactive), M. Ellingsen (Leg Injury)
Örgryte IS: A. Abukar (Inactive), R. Alm (Knee Injury), A. Andersson (Inactive), J. Azulay (Inactive)
Injury records reflect the team news on file heading into this match.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won AIK vs Örgryte IS?
Örgryte IS won 3-0. Our pre-match pick was No bet recommended.
What was the final score of AIK vs Örgryte IS?
AIK 0-3 Örgryte IS (full time).
When was AIK vs Örgryte IS?
AIK played Örgryte IS on Sun 2 Aug · 15:30 BST in the Allsvenskan at Strawberry Arena.
More Allsvenskan This Week
See all Allsvenskan fixtures →Given the lack of supporting statistics, there is no clear statistical edge to exploit on any market, and we therefore advise staying clear of a bet on this fixture.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
