Brann vs Bodo/Glimt: Both teams to score - Yes
Brann host Bodo/Glimt in a clash where the model rates goal‑richness at 74.6% for over 2.5 goals and 73.2% for both sides finding the net. The numbers suggest a high‑scoring encounter despite Brann’s modest defensive record.
Both sides enter the match with contrasting recent form – Brann sit on a mixed WWDLL run while Bodo/Glimt have rolled unbeaten in their last four. The disparity in recent results sets up a clear expectation of attacking intent from the visitors.
Lars's Verdict
The model assigns a 73.2% chance that both sides will score, driven by Brann’s 1.5 goals‑against average at home and Glimt’s 2.1 expected goals away.
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With Brann averaging 1.8 expected goals and Bodo/Glimt averaging 2.1, the model gives a 73.2% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 26.8% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
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Combined expected goals of 3.9 (Brann 1.8 + Bodo/Glimt 2.1) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 74.6% chance against 25.4% for Under.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Brann at 33.8%, the draw at 20.8%, and Bodo/Glimt at 45.4% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-2 at 8.0% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Brann
Brann’s last five league outings include a 3‑2 home win over Rosenborg and a 3‑0 home victory against Ham‑Kam, demonstrating they can score but also a 1‑2 home loss to Lillestrom and a 0‑2 away defeat at Start, highlighting defensive frailties. The mix of high‑scoring wins and recent conceding suggests they will be vulnerable to Glimt’s attack, supporting the BTTS pick.
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt have not dropped points in their last four matches, with a 2‑1 away win at Valerenga and a 4‑2 home triumph over Rosenborg confirming their ability to both score and keep clean sheets. Their 1‑0 home win over Sandefjord adds to a pattern of tight defense, meaning they are likely to score while limiting Brann’s chances, reinforcing the BTTS outlook.
Head-to-Head
Recent head‑to‑head meetings favor Glimt, including a 3‑1 win on 24 May and a 2‑2 draw on 9 May, showing they can both score and concede against Brann, which backs the both‑teams‑to‑score proposition.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Brann | Eliteserien |
| 9 May 2026 | Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Brann | NM Cupen |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Brann 1-2 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| 21 Jun 2025 | Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Brann | Eliteserien |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Brann 4-1 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
Team News (Pregame)
Brann: N. Boakye (Knee Injury), E. Gudmundsson (Injury), N. Holm (Yellow Cards), K. Kjartansson (Injury)
Bodo/Glimt: H. Evjen (Knee Injury), M. Riisnaes (Injury), I. Sjong (Injury), S. Fet (Thigh Injury)
Injury records reflect the team news on file heading into this match.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?
Brann won 2-1. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - Yes.
What was the final score of Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?
Brann 2-1 Bodo/Glimt (full time).
When was Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?
Brann played Bodo/Glimt on Sun 20 Sep · 18:15 BST in the Eliteserien at Brann Stadion.
More Eliteserien This Week
See all Eliteserien fixtures →With both teams’ numbers pointing to a match where each side will probably breach the net, the most compelling market is the both‑teams‑to‑score option.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
