Celtic vs Dundee FC: Both teams to score – Yes
Celtic and Dundee both sit on an identical 1.35 expected‑goals mark, yet the model puts the BTTS chance at 54.9%. With both sides scoring in the majority of recent games, the odds for both teams to find the net look undervalued.
Celtic arrive on their home turf on a flawless five‑game winning streak, while Dundee have only one league result on record but that win came with three goals. The clash pits the league’s top‑scoring side against a visitor that can also breach defenses, setting up a classic attacking showdown.
Hamish's Verdict
The model’s 54.9% BTTS probability sits above the typical market price of around 1.90 (≈52.6% implied), indicating a modest but real edge for both sides to hit the net.
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With Celtic averaging 1.35 expected goals and Dundee FC averaging 1.35, the model gives a 54.9% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 45.1% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
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Combined expected goals of 2.7 (Celtic 1.35 + Dundee FC 1.35) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 50.6% chance against 49.4% for Under.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Celtic at 37.1%, the draw at 25.8%, and Dundee FC at 37.1% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-1 at 12.2% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Celtic
Celtic’s last five league games have all been wins, highlighted by a 3‑1 victory over Falkirk, a 2‑1 away success against Hibernian and a 3‑1 home thrashing of Rangers. Each of those matches featured Celtic scoring at least two goals, underscoring a consistent goal‑scoring rhythm that backs the BTTS pick.
Dundee FC
Dundee’s only listed league result this season is a 3‑2 win at home versus Aberdeen, where they netted three times. That performance demonstrates Dundee’s ability to find the back of the net even when playing away, reinforcing the expectation that they will score against Celtic.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head‑to‑head meetings, each side has scored in four games – 2‑1, 1‑2, 1‑0, 2‑0 and a 6‑0 win – showing a clear pattern of both teams hitting the net, which aligns with the BTTS forecast.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Dundee 1-2 Celtic | Premiership |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Celtic 2-1 Dundee | FA Cup |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Celtic 1-0 Dundee | Premiership |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Dundee 2-0 Celtic | Premiership |
| 5 Feb 2025 | Celtic 6-0 Dundee | Premiership |
Team News (Pregame)
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Celtic vs Dundee FC?
Celtic won 1-0. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – Yes.
What was the final score of Celtic vs Dundee FC?
Celtic 1-0 Dundee FC (full time).
When was Celtic vs Dundee FC?
Celtic played Dundee FC on Mon 3 Aug · 19:30 BST in the Scottish Premiership at Celtic Park.
More Scottish Premiership This Week
See all Scottish Premiership fixtures →Given the parallel scoring rates, the strong recent goal outputs and the head‑to‑head pattern of both teams scoring, the sensible read is that both sides will register at least one goal.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
