Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor: Both teams to score - Yes
Fenerbahçe average 2.5 xG at home against Eyüpspor's 1.35 away xG, while the model rates the match as a 62.4% win probability for the hosts. Both sides have a combined over‑2.5 goals probability of 73.8% and a 67.9% chance both will find the net.
Fenerbahçe arrive in Istanbul after a mixed run of L‑W‑W‑L in their last five league outings, while Eyüpspor have struggled to a LLWLL sequence away from home. The contrast in recent results sets up a test of Fenerbahçe's attacking edge against an away side that has yet to score in four of its last five games.
Lars's Verdict
The model assigns a 67.9% chance that both Fenerbahçe and Eyüpspor will score, reflecting the combined 3.85 expected goals and recent form trends.
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With Fenerbahçe averaging 2.5 expected goals and Eyüpspor averaging 1.35, the model gives a 67.9% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 32.1% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
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Combined expected goals of 3.9 (Fenerbahçe 2.5 + Eyüpspor 1.35) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 73.8% chance against 26.2% for Under.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Fenerbahçe at 62.4%, the draw at 18.2%, and Eyüpspor at 19.3% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 2-1 at 9.0% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe's recent form L‑W‑W‑L includes a 4-2 home win over Konyaspor and a 2-0 away victory at Samsunspor, showing they can produce multiple goals when in flow. The two recent losses (1-2 vs Gençlerbirliği away and 1-2 vs Beşiktaş at home) indicate occasional defensive lapses but do not diminish their ability to score, reinforcing the BTTS‑Yes outlook.
Eyüpspor
Eyüpspor's form LLWLL features a 2-1 home win over Alanyaspor, their only recent game where they found the net. Their other four matches, including 0-1 defeats to Beşiktaş and Gaziantep FK and a 0-3 loss at Çorum FK, show they have struggled to score, yet the recent win suggests they can still break the deadlock, supporting the BTTS‑Yes premise.
Head-to-Head
Head‑to‑head meetings include a 3-3 draw in May 2026 and a 2-1 win for Fenerbahçe in May 2025, indicating both sides have been able to score in recent encounters, which aligns with the BTTS‑Yes pick.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Fenerbahçe 3-3 Eyüpspor | Süper Lig |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Eyüpspor 0-3 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| 18 May 2025 | Fenerbahçe 2-1 Eyüpspor | Süper Lig |
| 20 Dec 2024 | Eyüpspor 1-1 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
Team News (Pregame)
Fenerbahçe: M. Asensio (Muscle Injury), J. Oosterwolde (Achilles Tendon Injury), A. Diouf (Off the roster), A. Fall (Off the roster)
Eyüpspor: A. Sabiri (Injury), I. Taskin (Injury), A. Abdullahi (Injury), D. Costa (Red Card)
Injury records reflect the team news on file heading into this match.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor?
Fenerbahçe won 8-0. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - Yes.
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor?
Fenerbahçe 8-0 Eyüpspor (full time).
When was Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor?
Fenerbahçe played Eyüpspor on Sun 20 Sep · 15:00 BST in the Süper Lig at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
More Süper Lig This Week
See all Süper Lig fixtures →Given the scoring gap and the high probability of both sides finding the net, the safest read is the Both Teams to Score market.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
