Rizespor vs Samsunspor: Both teams to score - Yes
Rizespor host Samsunspor in a tightly matched Süper Lig clash, with both sides posting identical expected‑goals of 1.35. The model flags a 55% chance both teams will find the net.
Both clubs sit on recent mixed form – Rizespor with a W‑L‑D‑W run and Samsunspor on a W‑W‑L‑W streak – making consistency the key narrative ahead of the 17:00 kick‑off.
Lars's Verdict
The model assigns a 54.9% chance both sides will score, outpacing the 45.1% chance of a clean sheet for either team.
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With Rizespor averaging 1.35 expected goals and Samsunspor averaging 1.35, the model gives a 54.9% chance both teams find the net, ahead of the 45.1% it gives to at least one side being kept out.
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Combined expected goals of 2.7 (Rizespor 1.35 + Samsunspor 1.35) points to an open game, with the model giving Over 2.5 Goals a 50.6% chance against 49.4% for Under.
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Our Poisson model, built from each side's real season scoring and conceding rates, has Rizespor at 37.1%, the draw at 25.8%, and Samsunspor at 37.1% to win.
The single most likely scoreline in our model is 1-1 at 12.2% — treat any single scoreline price with caution given how spread out the probability distribution is across a low-scoring match.
The Numbers Behind the Headline
Most likely scorelines
Model probabilities are derived from each team's real season goals-for and goals-against averages via a Poisson goal-expectancy model — not a fixed set of narrative numbers.
Form Guide — Last 5
Rizespor
Rizespor’s recent form includes a 3‑2 home win over Konyaspor and a 2‑2 home draw with Beşiktaş, confirming they can create and concede goals. Their 1‑0 away win against Konyaspor adds a clean‑sheet example, but the varied results suggest they are not shut‑out resistant – a factor that supports both teams scoring.
Samsunspor
Samsunspor’s last five feature a 4‑1 home thrashing of Galatasaray and a 3‑0 home win over Göztepe, evidencing a high‑scoring mindset. The 0‑3 away loss to Başakşehir shows they can be vulnerable defensively, reinforcing the likelihood of both sides netting.
Head-to-Head
Head‑to‑head meetings have produced several high‑scoring games, including a 4‑1 Rizespor win and a 3‑0 Samsunspor victory, indicating a history of both teams finding the net.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | Rizespor 4-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Samsunspor 1-1 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Samsunspor 2-3 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Rizespor 0-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| 23 Feb 2024 | Samsunspor 3-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
Team News (Pregame)
Rizespor: K. Alikulov (Knee Injury), F. Orak (Inactive)
Samsunspor: No notable injury concerns on record.
Injury records reflect the team news on file heading into this match.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
Samsunspor won 2-0. Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score - Yes.
What was the final score of Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
Rizespor 0-2 Samsunspor (full time).
When was Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
Rizespor played Samsunspor on Sat 22 Aug · 17:00 BST in the Süper Lig at TBC.
More Süper Lig This Week
See all Süper Lig fixtures →With both sides averaging 1.35 xG and a BTTS probability of 54.9%, the data points to a game where both attacks are likely to breach the net.
Predictions and model probabilities are for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice — always do your own research. BeGambleAware.org
